Sport Picks
Numancia vs Real Avila Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
47'
47'
Gil A.
60'
60'
Castano V.
90'
90'
Gutierrez C.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Numancia and Real Avila finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Numancia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Numancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Real Avila come out ahead of Numancia on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Numancia's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Numancia Clean Sheet 68%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Numancia | Real Avila |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.72 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Numancia vs Real Avila
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Numancia
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Numancia vs Real Avila
2:0
Nov 30, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Numancia
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Real Avila vs Numancia
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Numancia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gil A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gutierrez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Real Avila Compare
Top Goalscorer Castano V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Numancia 95 / 100
Real Avila 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Numancia Real Avila
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Numancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Numancia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Numancia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Real Avila conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Numancia VS Real Avila
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Numancia
(Home) 27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0 Guadalajara
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0 Numancia
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2 Numancia
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1 Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0 Guadalajara
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid C
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1 Utebo FC
22 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1 Zaragoza
15 Aug
Numancia
0 : 0 Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 4
Real Avila
(Away) 27 Sept
Real Avila
1 : 0 Getafe B
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1 Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1 Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1 Real Avila
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1 Real Avila
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1 Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1 Real Avila
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1 Real Avila
12 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
0 : 2 Real Avila
01 Aug
CD Coria
1 : 0 Real Avila
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Fabril | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 58 |
| 3 | Numancia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:31 | 56 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino De Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | 15 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
