Sport Picks

Numancia vs Real Oviedo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain

Copa del Rey Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria

Numancia

Thu, Oct 29, 2026

4 - 3

05:00 PM

Real Oviedo

Our Tip

Match Events

Moreno C.

12'

Cortes P.

43'

Aranzabe A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Numancia

30%

Draws

33%

Real Oviedo

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Numancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Real Oviedo haven't matched Numancia's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Numancia's way, sitting at 36%.
Numancia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Numancia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Numancia Clean Sheet 18%

Real Oviedo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Numancia	Real Oviedo
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	12	10
Draws	11	7
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.24	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.86	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2026 Copa del Rey

Numancia vs Real Oviedo

4:3

Jun 28, 2020 LaLiga2

Numancia vs Real Oviedo

1:0

Oct 6, 2019 LaLiga2

Real Oviedo vs Numancia

1:1

May 19, 2019 LaLiga2

Real Oviedo vs Numancia

1:0

Jan 7, 2019 LaLiga2

Numancia vs Real Oviedo

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Aranzabe A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Leon I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Real Oviedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Goti Lopez M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Isfan A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia 36 / 100

Real Oviedo 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Numancia Real Oviedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Numancia scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Numancia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Real Oviedo conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Numancia VS Real Oviedo

1.25 Goals Scored 1.75

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

(Home)

01 Nov

Atletico Tordesillas

1 : 2

Numancia

29 Oct

Numancia

4 : 3

Real Oviedo

24 Oct

Numancia

2 : 3

Navalcarnero

18 Oct

Numancia

0 : 0

CF Talavera

11 Oct

Real Avila

1 : 1

Numancia

Page 1 of 6

Real Oviedo

(Away)

29 Oct

Numancia

4 : 3

Real Oviedo

24 Oct

Almeria

2 : 2

Real Oviedo

18 Oct

AD Ceuta

1 : 2

Real Oviedo

12 Oct

Real Oviedo

3 : 1

Eibar

02 Oct

Eldense

4 : 1

Real Oviedo

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Ribadesella CF 2

SD Noja 1

TBD -

Racing Santander -

Auriense 2

CD San Jose 1

TBD -

Dep. A Coruna -

Salamanca CF UDS -

TBD -

Celta Vigo -

Covadonga -

TBD -

Valladolid -

Guijuelo -

TBD -

Gijon -

CD Laredo -

TBD -

Burgos CF -

Numancia -

TBD -

Real Oviedo -

Llanera -

TBD -

Ponferradina -

Arosa SC -

TBD -

Pontevedra -

Atletico Tordesillas -

TBD -

Mirandes -

Gimnastica Segoviana -

TBD -

Leonesa -

Coruxo FC -

TBD -

Zamora -

Real Avila -

TBD -

Unionistas de Salamanca -

Gimnastic de Torrelavega -

TBD -

UD Ourense -

Atletico Calatayud 4

CD Baztan 1

TBD -

Osasuna -

Anaitasuna FT 10

CD Tedeon 2

TBD -

Alaves -

El Espinar Sant Rafel 1

Prat 10

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Sestao -

TBD -

Espanyol -

Varea -

TBD -

FC Andorra -

CD Cuarte -

TBD -

Girona -

Pamplona -

TBD -

Eibar -

Utebo FC -

TBD -

Sabadell -

Pena -

TBD -

Huesca -

Tudelano -

TBD -

Zaragoza -

CE Manresa -

TBD -

Sant Andreu -

Calamocha -

TBD -

CE Europa -

Reus FC Reddis -

TBD -

Barakaldo -

Amorebieta -

TBD -

UD Logrones -

Portugalete -

TBD -

Real Union -

Maracena 1

Tavernes 2

TBD -

Valencia -

Pinatar 11

Atletico Melilla 0

TBD -

Elche -

Talayuela 1

Sporting de Alcazar CF 3

TBD -

Malaga -

CD Tarancon -

TBD -

Levante -

Manacor -

TBD -

Villarreal -

Castellonense -

TBD -

Almeria -

Alcoyano -

TBD -

Mallorca -

Conquense -

TBD -

Castellon -

UD Poblense -

TBD -

AD Ceuta -

Puertollano C.F. -

TBD -

Albacete -

Ciudad Cieza -

TBD -

Granada CF -

Baleares -

TBD -

Eldense -

Deportiva Minera -

TBD -

FC Cartagena SAD -

Mijas Las Lagunas -

TBD -

Jaen -

Antequera -

TBD -

Aguilas FC -

Lebrijana 7

Ceuta 6 de Junio 1

TBD -

Getafe -

Hortaleza 4

Atletico Union Guimar 3

TBD -

Sevilla -

Recreativo Huelva -

TBD -

Rayo Vallecano -

Navalcarnero -

TBD -

Betis -

Trival Valderas -

TBD -

Leganes -

RSD Alcala -

TBD -

Las Palmas -

CD Badajoz -

TBD -

Tenerife -

Xerez CD -

TBD -

Cadiz -

Atletico Paso -

TBD -

Cordoba -

San Sebastian Reyes -

TBD -

CD Coria -

Don Benito -

TBD -

CD Extremadura -

Ciudad de Lucena -

TBD -

Rayo Majadahonda -

TBD -

1/64-finals

Ribadesella CF 0

Racing Santander 2

Auriense 0

Dep. A Coruna 3

Salamanca CF UDS -

Celta Vigo -

Covadonga 0

Valladolid 1

Guijuelo 1

Gijon 3

CD Laredo 2

Burgos CF 4

Numancia 4

Real Oviedo 3

Llanera 1

Ponferradina 2

Arosa SC 2

Pontevedra 0

Atletico Tordesillas 3

Mirandes 4

Gimnastica Segoviana 0

Leonesa 1

Coruxo FC 0

Zamora 2

Real Avila 1

Unionistas de Salamanca 0

Gimnastic de Torrelavega 3

UD Ourense 1

Atletico Calatayud 0

Osasuna 6

Anaitasuna FT -

Alaves -

Prat 1

Ath Bilbao 6

Sestao 4

Espanyol 3

Varea 0

FC Andorra 3

CD Cuarte 0

Girona 2

Pamplona -

Eibar -

Utebo FC -

Sabadell -

Pena 1

Huesca 5

Tudelano 0

Zaragoza 4

CE Manresa 2

Sant Andreu 3

Calamocha 0

CE Europa 3

Reus FC Reddis -

Barakaldo -

Amorebieta -

UD Logrones -

Portugalete -

Real Union -

Tavernes -

Valencia -

Pinatar 1

Elche 3

Sporting de Alcazar CF 0

Malaga 3

CD Tarancon -

Levante -

Manacor 0

Villarreal 5

Castellonense 1

Almeria 2

Alcoyano -

Mallorca -

Conquense 0

Castellon 3

UD Poblense 1

AD Ceuta 2

Puertollano C.F. -

Albacete -

Ciudad Cieza 0

Granada CF 3

Baleares 0

Eldense 1

Deportiva Minera -

FC Cartagena SAD -

Mijas Las Lagunas -

Jaen -

Antequera 2

Aguilas FC 0

Lebrijana 2

Getafe 3

Hortaleza 0

Sevilla 3

Recreativo Huelva 2

Rayo Vallecano 3

Navalcarnero -

Betis -

Trival Valderas -

Leganes -

RSD Alcala 1

Las Palmas 3

CD Badajoz -

Tenerife -

Xerez CD 1

Cadiz 3

Atletico Paso 3

Cordoba 1

San Sebastian Reyes 1

CD Coria 2

Don Benito 2

CD Extremadura 4

Ciudad de Lucena 0

Rayo Majadahonda 1

TBD -

1/32-finals

TBD -

1/16-finals

TBD -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Numancia vs Real Oviedo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain

Numancia

Real Oviedo

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Numancia Compare

Real Oviedo Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

Real Oviedo

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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