Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Numancia vs Tarazona

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Gomez J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Numancia and Tarazona finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarazona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Numancia
30%
Draws
19%
Tarazona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Numancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Numancia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Numancia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Numancia here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Numancia Clean Sheet 20%
Tarazona Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia Tarazona
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.21 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.05 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Numancia vs Tarazona
0:1
Apr 23, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Numancia vs Tarazona
2:1
Dec 5, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Tarazona vs Numancia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.81
Avg xA / game 0.53

Tarazona Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia 85 / 100
Tarazona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia Tarazona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Numancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Numancia scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Tarazona has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

Numancia VS Tarazona
1.25 Goals Scored 0.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

(Home)
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Utebo FC
22 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Zaragoza
Page 1 of 6

Tarazona

(Away)
23 May
Tarazona
0 : 2
Sabadell
16 May
Betis B
3 : 0
Tarazona
10 May
Tarazona
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
03 May
Teruel
0 : 0
Tarazona
26 Apr
Tarazona
0 : 0
Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6