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Numancia vs Utebo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Suarez D.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Leon I.
68' Event
Leon I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Numancia and Utebo FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Numancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Numancia
35%
Draws
23%
Utebo FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Numancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Numancia have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Utebo FC are scoring more at 1.3.
  • Numancia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Numancia Clean Sheet 68%
Utebo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia Utebo FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Numancia vs Utebo FC
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Numancia vs Utebo FC
0:2
May 19, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Numancia vs Utebo FC
2:0
May 12, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Utebo FC vs Numancia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Leon I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Utebo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia 77 / 100
Utebo FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia Utebo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Numancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Numancia found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Utebo FC conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Numancia VS Utebo FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

(Home)
04 Oct
Getafe B
0 : 0
Numancia
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
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Utebo FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Utebo FC
0 : 0
Arnedo
04 Oct
UD Barbastro
1 : 1
Utebo FC
27 Sept
Utebo FC
0 : 1
Reus FC Reddis
19 Sept
Olot
1 : 2
Utebo FC
13 Sept
Utebo FC
1 : 1
SD Logrones
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