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Numancia vs Zaragoza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Moreno C.
68' Event
Diez R.
86' Event
Leon I.

AI Match Summary

Numancia in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Numancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Numancia
35%
Draws
34%
Zaragoza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Zaragoza at 1.45 per game, Numancia at 1.24.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Numancia Clean Sheet 13%
Zaragoza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia Zaragoza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Numancia vs Zaragoza
2:1
Jan 25, 2020 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Numancia
1:0
Oct 13, 2019 LaLiga2
Numancia vs Zaragoza
0:1
Jun 4, 2019 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Numancia
0:0
Oct 13, 2018 LaLiga2
Numancia vs Zaragoza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leon I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Zaragoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Diez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia 31 / 100
Zaragoza 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia Zaragoza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaragoza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Zaragoza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Numancia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Numancia VS Zaragoza
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

(Home)
01 Nov
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 2
Numancia
29 Oct
Numancia
4 : 3
Real Oviedo
24 Oct
Numancia
2 : 3
Navalcarnero
18 Oct
Numancia
0 : 0
CF Talavera
11 Oct
Real Avila
1 : 1
Numancia
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Zaragoza

(Away)
31 Oct
Zaragoza
2 : 2
Villarreal B
27 Oct
Tudelano
0 : 4
Zaragoza
23 Oct
CE Europa
0 : 1
Zaragoza
18 Oct
Murcia
0 : 0
Zaragoza
11 Oct
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 4
Zaragoza
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