Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Numancia vs Zaragoza

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Moreno C.
68' Event
Diez R.
86' Event
Leon I.

AI Match Summary

Numancia in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Numancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Numancia
15%
Draws
35%
Zaragoza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Numancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Numancia lately — more wins on the board than Zaragoza.
  • Model gives Numancia a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Numancia Clean Sheet 68%
Zaragoza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Numancia Zaragoza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Numancia vs Zaragoza
2:1
Jan 25, 2020 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Numancia
1:0
Oct 13, 2019 LaLiga2
Numancia vs Zaragoza
0:1
Jun 4, 2019 LaLiga2
Zaragoza vs Numancia
0:0
Oct 13, 2018 LaLiga2
Numancia vs Zaragoza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Numancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leon I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Zaragoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Diez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Numancia 95 / 100
Zaragoza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Numancia Zaragoza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Numancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Numancia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Numancia's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zaragoza has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Numancia VS Zaragoza
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
0.33 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Numancia

(Home)
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Utebo FC
22 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Zaragoza
15 Aug
Numancia
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
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Zaragoza

(Away)
13 Sept
Torremolinos
3 : 4
Zaragoza
05 Sept
Zaragoza
1 : 0
Antequera
30 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
2 : 0
Zaragoza
22 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Zaragoza
21 Aug
Zaragoza
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
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