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Nuneaton vs Needham Market

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Sat, Apr 13, 2024
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nuneaton host Needham Market in the Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Nuneaton at 1.08 goals for, 1.62 against; Needham Market at 1.48 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Nuneaton slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.15, favoring Needham Market. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Nuneaton
20%
Draws
52%
Needham Market
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Needham Market

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Needham Market have won more games recently than Nuneaton.
  • Needham Market are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Nuneaton Clean Sheet 10%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuneaton Needham Market
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 1 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.08 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Nuneaton vs Needham Market
0:0
Nov 4, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Nuneaton
0:2
Mar 25, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Nuneaton
1:1
Oct 25, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Nuneaton vs Needham Market
1:1
Apr 2, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Nuneaton
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuneaton 10 / 100
Needham Market 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuneaton Needham Market

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Needham Market Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nuneaton scored in 69% of their last 13 games.

Needham Market's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Nuneaton has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nuneaton VS Needham Market
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuneaton

(Home)
12 Sept
Matlock
5 : 1
Nuneaton
05 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 0
Nuneaton
29 Aug
Lincoln Utd.
1 : 2
Nuneaton
22 Jul
Nuneaton
0 : 3
Leamington
27 Jul
Coventry Sphinx
0 : 3
Nuneaton
Page 1 of 3

Needham Market

(Away)
12 Sept
Needham Market
2 : 0
Worcester
08 Sept
Needham Market
3 : 1
Stanway Rovers
05 Sept
Stanway Rovers
0 : 0
Needham Market
31 Aug
Needham Market
3 : 3
Peterborough Sports
29 Aug
Stratford
1 : 2
Needham Market
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Needham Market 40 26 7 7 74:34 85
2 Telford 40 24 10 6 69:34 82
3 Leamington 40 19 14 7 61:32 71
4 Redditch 40 21 7 12 65:52 70
5 Mickleover 40 25 6 9 77:43 69
6 Stratford 40 21 6 13 69:57 69
7 Stamford 40 19 9 12 80:58 66
8 Halesowen 40 18 8 14 54:50 62
9 St Ives Town 40 18 4 18 87:72 58
10 Royston Town 40 17 6 17 63:61 57
11 Coalville Town 40 15 10 15 68:57 55
12 Stourbridge 40 14 10 16 52:50 52
13 Leiston 40 14 10 16 56:71 52
14 Barwell 40 13 12 15 64:65 51
15 Kettering 40 13 9 18 49:74 48
16 Alvechurch 40 12 9 19 49:70 45
17 Bromsgrove 40 12 8 20 44:51 44
18 Sudbury 40 10 10 20 53:62 40
19 Hitchin 40 11 6 23 46:64 39
20 Long Eaton 40 5 7 28 39:109 22
21 Berkhamsted Town 40 3 12 25 31:84 21
22 Nuneaton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)