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Nuorese vs Aprilia

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Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Nuorese Logo

Nuorese

1 - 1
FT
Aprilia Logo

Aprilia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 game between Nuorese and Aprilia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Nuorese
20%
Draws
36%
Aprilia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nuorese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aprilia come out ahead of Nuorese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aprilia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Nuorese Clean Sheet 10%
Aprilia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuorese Aprilia
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Nuorese vs Aprilia
1:1
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Nuorese
1:0
Mar 1, 2015 Serie D - Group G
Aprilia vs Nuorese
0:0
Oct 19, 2014 Serie D - Group G
Nuorese vs Aprilia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuorese 10 / 100
Aprilia 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuorese Aprilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aprilia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aprilia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Nuorese found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 0.75 goals as a typical output.

Nuorese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nuorese VS Aprilia
0 Goals Scored 1.38
9 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuorese

(Home)
16 Nov
Nuorese
0 : 9
Cagliari
20 May
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Nuorese
06 May
Nuorese
2 : 0
Cassino
29 Apr
Latina
1 : 0
Nuorese
22 Apr
Nuorese
3 : 2
Ostiamare
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Aprilia

(Away)
07 May
Vis Artena
2 : 2
Aprilia
30 Apr
Aprilia
4 : 1
Casertana
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
06 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2
Aprilia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)