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Nuorese vs Ostiamare

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Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Nuorese Logo

Nuorese

3 - 2
FT
Ostiamare Logo

Ostiamare

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 game between Nuorese and Ostiamare finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nuorese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nuorese
15%
Draws
42%
Ostiamare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nuorese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ostiamare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ostiamare are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Nuorese Clean Sheet 19%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuorese Ostiamare
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Nuorese vs Ostiamare
3:2
Dec 3, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Ostiamare vs Nuorese
2:0
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Ostiamare vs Nuorese
4:1
Dec 8, 2016 Serie D - Group G
Nuorese vs Ostiamare
1:1
Feb 28, 2016 Serie D - Group G
Ostiamare vs Nuorese
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuorese 10 / 100
Ostiamare 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuorese Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostiamare Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostiamare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Ostiamare has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nuorese scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ostiamare
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuorese

(Home)
16 Nov
Nuorese
0 : 9
Cagliari
20 May
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Nuorese
06 May
Nuorese
2 : 0
Cassino
29 Apr
Latina
1 : 0
Nuorese
22 Apr
Nuorese
3 : 2
Ostiamare
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Ostiamare

(Away)
20 Sept
Gubbio
0 : 2
Ostiamare
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Grosseto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)