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Nuorese vs Tortoli

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Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Nuorese Logo

Nuorese

1 - 0
FT
Tortoli Logo

Tortoli

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 game between Nuorese and Tortoli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nuorese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nuorese
15%
Draws
28%
Tortoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nuorese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Nuorese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nuorese's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Nuorese Clean Sheet 20%
Tortoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuorese Tortoli
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Nuorese vs Tortoli
1:0
Sep 10, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Tortoli vs Nuorese
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuorese 42 / 100
Tortoli 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuorese Tortoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tortoli conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Tortoli lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Nuorese scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nuorese VS Tortoli
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuorese

(Home)
16 Nov
Nuorese
0 : 9
Cagliari
20 May
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Nuorese
06 May
Nuorese
2 : 0
Cassino
29 Apr
Latina
1 : 0
Nuorese
22 Apr
Nuorese
3 : 2
Ostiamare
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Tortoli

(Away)
06 May
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Tortoli
29 Apr
Tortoli
1 : 4
Monterosi
22 Apr
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Tortoli
14 Apr
Tortoli
4 : 3
Aprilia
08 Apr
Anzio Calcio 1924
1 : 0
Tortoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)