Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024

Nuova Gioiese

1 - 2

Licata

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Orazzo S.

85'

Giannone E.

89'

Ielo D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Nuova Gioiese and Licata finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Licata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Nuova Gioiese

39%

Draws

30%

Licata

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Licata carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 20%

Licata Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nuova Gioiese	Licata
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	2	9
Draws	3	4
Losses	24	18
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I

Licata vs Nuova Gioiese

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

4:0

Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group I

Nuova Gioiese vs Licata

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Feb 23, 2014 Serie D - Group I

Licata vs Nuova Gioiese

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Oct 13, 2013 Serie D - Group I

Nuova Gioiese vs Licata

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Orazzo S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Giannone E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rotulo R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Gioiese 32 / 100

Licata 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nuova Gioiese Licata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Licata let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Licata lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Nuova Gioiese found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Licata

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 2.25

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trapani	34	30	4	0	95:15	94
2	Siracusa	34	25	6	3	79:26	81
3	Vibonese	34	22	6	6	67:29	72
4	Reggina	34	19	8	7	54:25	65
5	AS Acireale	34	15	9	10	39:41	54
6	S. Agata	34	15	7	12	46:35	52
7	Real Casalnuovo	34	15	6	13	52:49	51
8	USD Ragusa	34	14	8	12	41:38	50
9	Canicatti	34	14	6	14	55:51	48
10	Igea Virtus	34	13	6	15	38:40	45
11	Licata	34	12	7	15	43:54	43
12	Akragas	34	12	6	16	42:53	42
13	Sancataldese	34	9	10	15	32:43	37
14	Portici 1906	34	8	8	18	32:55	32
15	San Luca	34	6	12	16	37:55	29
16	Locri 1909	34	7	7	20	34:68	28
17	Castrovillari	34	2	12	20	29:76	17
18	Nuova Gioiese	34	3	2	29	18:80	11
19	Lamezia Terme	0	0	0	0	0:0	0