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Nuova Gioiese vs Licata Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Orazzo S.
85' Event
Giannone E.
89'
Ielo D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Nuova Gioiese and Licata finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Licata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Nuova Gioiese
30%
Draws
51%
Licata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Licata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Licata a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Nuova Gioiese Clean Sheet 24%
Licata Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nuova Gioiese Licata
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.52 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Nuova Gioiese
4:0
Nov 19, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Licata
1:2
Feb 23, 2014 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Nuova Gioiese
0:0
Oct 13, 2013 Serie D - Group I
Nuova Gioiese vs Licata
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nuova Gioiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Orazzo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Giannone E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rotulo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nuova Gioiese 10 / 100
Licata 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nuova Gioiese Licata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Licata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Licata let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Nuova Gioiese scored in 38% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Nuova Gioiese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Licata
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nuova Gioiese

(Home)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
1 : 2
Trapani
21 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Nuova Gioiese
14 Apr
Nuova Gioiese
2 : 2
S. Agata
28 Mar
Licata
4 : 0
Nuova Gioiese
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Licata

(Away)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)