Sport Picks
Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld
Germany
2. Bundesliga Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg 
Match Events
11'
11'
Zoma M. A.
22'
22'
Janisch T.
Assist: Becker F.
38'
38'
Markhiev A.
Assist: Porstner E.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Bundesliga game between Nurnberg and Arminia Bielefeld finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nurnberg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nurnberg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nurnberg come out ahead of Arminia Bielefeld on wins alone.
- Nurnberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 10%
Arminia Bielefeld Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nurnberg | Arminia Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld
4:1
Apr 18, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Nurnberg
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Arminia Bielefeld
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Arminia Bielefeld vs Nurnberg
2:1
Mar 17, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Arminia Bielefeld vs Nurnberg
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nurnberg Compare
Top Goalscorer Markhiev A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zoma M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Arminia Bielefeld Compare
Top Goalscorer Worl M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nurnberg 83 / 100
Arminia Bielefeld 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nurnberg Arminia Bielefeld
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nurnberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nurnberg scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Nurnberg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Arminia Bielefeld conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Nurnberg VS Arminia Bielefeld
3.88 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nurnberg
(Home) 05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2 Nurnberg
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
22 Aug
FC Viktoria Koln
1 : 2 Nurnberg
15 Aug
Greuther Furth
2 : 4 Nurnberg
09 Aug
Nurnberg
3 : 0 Dresden
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
09 Aug
Nurnberg
3 : 0 Dresden
01 Aug
Nurnberg
2 : 1 Real Oviedo
18 Jul
Nurnberg
3 : 2 Mannheim
09 May
Nurnberg
3 : 0 Schalke
Page 1 of 3
Arminia Bielefeld
(Away) 04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 St. Pauli
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
22 Aug
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
3 : 2 Arminia Bielefeld
16 Aug
Arminia Bielefeld
3 : 0 Energie Cottbus
08 Aug
Karlsruher
2 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
22 Aug
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
3 : 2 Arminia Bielefeld
08 Aug
Karlsruher
2 : 1 Arminia Bielefeld
18 Jul
Bologna
0 : 4 Arminia Bielefeld
14 Jul
SC Imst
0 : 10 Arminia Bielefeld
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 9 |
| 4 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10:6 | 8 |
| 5 | Kaiserslautern | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 6 | Bochum | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Magdeburg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 8 | VfL Osnabruck | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 9 | Karlsruher | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 11 | Energie Cottbus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 13 | Hannover | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Braunschweig | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 3 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 17 | Dresden | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 18 | Darmstadt | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
