Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nurnberg vs Dusseldorf

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Max-Morlock-Stadion, Nuremberg
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Gruber F. In: Mkrtchyan S.
Out: Gruber F.
45'
Egouli E.
53' Event
Appelkamp S.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Nurnberg and Dusseldorf finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dusseldorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Nurnberg
15%
Draws
27%
Dusseldorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nurnberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Dusseldorf have managed 1.83 goals a game lately — Nurnberg are scoring more at 2.07.
  • Model gives Nurnberg a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 10%
Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurnberg Dusseldorf
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 2
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.07 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Dusseldorf
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Nurnberg
2:3
Apr 26, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Nurnberg
3:3
Dec 1, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Dusseldorf
2:2
May 3, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Nurnberg
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nurnberg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Dusseldorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Appelkamp S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurnberg 83 / 100
Dusseldorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurnberg Dusseldorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nurnberg scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Nurnberg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Dusseldorf conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nurnberg VS Dusseldorf
3.5 Goals Scored 3.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nurnberg

(Home)
01 Aug
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Real Oviedo
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
18 Jul
Nurnberg
3 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Ansbach
1 : 5
Nurnberg
08 Jul
TSV Kornburg
0 : 10
Nurnberg
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Dusseldorf

(Away)
07 Aug
Mannheim
2 : 1
Dusseldorf
31 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 3
Hannover
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1
Dortmund
18 Jul
LASK Linz
2 : 0
Dusseldorf
15 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 0
Ruzomberok
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schalke 34 21 7 6 50:31 70
2 Elversberg 34 18 8 8 64:39 62
3 Paderborn 34 18 8 8 59:45 62
4 Hannover 34 16 12 6 60:44 60
5 Darmstadt 34 13 13 8 57:45 52
6 Kaiserslautern 34 16 4 14 52:47 52
7 Hertha Berlin 34 14 9 11 47:44 51
8 Nurnberg 34 12 10 12 47:45 46
9 Bochum 34 11 11 12 49:47 44
10 Karlsruher 34 12 8 14 53:64 44
11 Dresden 34 11 8 15 54:53 41
12 Holstein Kiel 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
13 Arminia Bielefeld 34 10 9 15 53:51 39
14 Magdeburg 34 12 3 19 52:58 39
15 Braunschweig 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
16 Greuther Furth 34 10 7 17 49:68 37
17 Dusseldorf 34 11 4 19 33:53 37
18 Preussen Munster 34 6 12 16 38:61 30
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)