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Nurnberg vs Ingolstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Fernandez J.
15' Event
Ghrieb R.
27'
Ghrieb R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Nurnberg and Ingolstadt finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nurnberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Nurnberg
15%
Draws
16%
Ingolstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nurnberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nurnberg come out ahead of Ingolstadt on wins alone.
  • Nurnberg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Nurnberg Clean Sheet 20%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nurnberg Ingolstadt
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.43 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Nurnberg vs Ingolstadt
3:1
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Nurnberg vs Ingolstadt
3:0
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Nurnberg vs Ingolstadt
2:1
Mar 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Nurnberg vs Ingolstadt
0:2
Feb 4, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg vs Ingolstadt
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nurnberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghrieb R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapina V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nurnberg 85 / 100
Ingolstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nurnberg Ingolstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nurnberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nurnberg scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Nurnberg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ingolstadt has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nurnberg VS Ingolstadt
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nurnberg

(Home)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 1
Nurnberg
11 Sept
Nurnberg
2 : 1
Hannover
05 Sept
Holstein Kiel
2 : 2
Nurnberg
29 Aug
Nurnberg
4 : 1
Arminia Bielefeld
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Ingolstadt

(Away)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3
Alemannia Aachen
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