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NWS Spirit U20 vs Rockdale Ilinden U20

Australia Australia

NPL NSW U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NWS Spirit U20 in this NPL NSW U20 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored NWS Spirit U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
NWS Spirit U20
6%
Draws
4%
Rockdale Ilinden U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: NWS Spirit U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • NWS Spirit U20 have won more games recently than Rockdale Ilinden U20.
  • NWS Spirit U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
NWS Spirit U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Rockdale Ilinden U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NWS Spirit U20 Rockdale Ilinden U20
Matches Played 24 25
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NPL NSW U20
Rockdale Ilinden U20 vs NWS Spirit U20
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 NPL NSW U20
NWS Spirit U20 vs Rockdale Ilinden U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NWS Spirit U20 83 / 100
Rockdale Ilinden U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NWS Spirit U20 Rockdale Ilinden U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NWS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NWS Spirit U20's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Rockdale Ilinden U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 25 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

NWS Spirit U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NWS Spirit U20 VS Rockdale Ilinden U20
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

NWS Spirit U20

(Home)
18 Jul
UNSW U20
3 : 2
NWS Spirit U20
11 Jul
NWS Spirit U20
5 : 1
St George Saints U20
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden U20
1 : 1
NWS Spirit U20
27 Jun
NWS Spirit U20
7 : 1
Wollongong Wolves U20
20 Jun
St. George City U20
2 : 3
NWS Spirit U20
Page 1 of 5

Rockdale Ilinden U20

(Away)
18 Jul
St George Saints U20
3 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden U20
12 Jul
Sydney Utd U20
6 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden U20
05 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden U20
1 : 1
NWS Spirit U20
28 Jun
APIA Leichhardt U20
1 : 2
Rockdale Ilinden U20
22 Jun
Sydney Olympic U20
1 : 3
Rockdale Ilinden U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt U2024202261:1962
2Sydney Utd U2024155474:3650
3NWS Spirit U2024143756:3945
4Manly Utd U2024133850:3342
5Marconi Stallions U2024125745:2441
6Sydney FC U2024108652:4038
7Wollongong Wolves U2024108648:4138
8SD Raiders U20241041039:4634
9Blacktown City U20241021241:5632
10Sutherland Sharks U2024941145:4431
11UNSW U2024861049:6130
12Western Sydney Wanderers U2024921344:5629
13St. George City U2024751247:6026
14Rockdale Ilinden U2024751232:4726
15St George Saints U2024261634:6812
16Sydney Olympic U2024042023:704
Promotion - NPL NSW U20 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW U20 (Play Offs)