Sport Picks
NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW Christie Park, Sydney 
Match Events
15'
15'
Kealy C.
21'
21'
Kealy C.
76'
76'
Cornwell G.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
NWS Spirit in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored NWS Spirit.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NWS Spirit
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to NWS Spirit lately — more wins on the board than Blacktown City.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on NWS Spirit taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors NWS Spirit here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 15%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | NWS Spirit | Blacktown City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs NWS Spirit
1:0
May 31, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City
4:1
Feb 15, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs NWS Spirit
0:4
Aug 10, 2024 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
NWS Spirit Compare
Top Goalscorer Kealy C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kavanagh C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Blacktown City Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
NWS Spirit 84 / 100
Blacktown City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
NWS Spirit Blacktown City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NWS Spirit Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
NWS Spirit's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Blacktown City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: NWS Spirit stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
NWS Spirit VS Blacktown City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
NWS Spirit
(Home) 06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
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22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 Blacktown City
25 Jul
NWS Spirit
0 : 4 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 St George Saints
27 Jun
NWS Spirit
2 : 0 Wollongong
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Blacktown City
(Away) 30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0 UNSW
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 Blacktown City
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
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22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 Blacktown City
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2 Blacktown City
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3 Blacktown City
28 Jun
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0 Blacktown City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
