Sport Picks

Australia

NPL NSW Christie Park, Sydney

NWS Spirit

0 - 2

Rockdale Ilinden

Our Tip

Match Events

49'

Constable L.

89'

Skotadis J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between NWS Spirit and Rockdale Ilinden finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rockdale Ilinden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

NWS Spirit

17%

Draws

70%

Rockdale Ilinden

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rockdale Ilinden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Rockdale Ilinden carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Rockdale Ilinden a 70% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 20%

Rockdale Ilinden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	NWS Spirit	Rockdale Ilinden
Matches Played	32	28
Wins	11	14
Draws	5	4
Losses	16	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NPL NSW

Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit

1:1

Mar 21, 2026 NPL NSW

NWS Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden

0:2

Sep 7, 2025 NPL NSW

NWS Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden

1:2

Jul 19, 2025 NPL NSW

NWS Spirit vs Rockdale Ilinden

6:3

Apr 6, 2025 NPL NSW

Rockdale Ilinden vs NWS Spirit

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NWS Spirit Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Rockdale Ilinden Compare

Top Goalscorer Constable L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Skotadis J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NWS Spirit 16 / 100

Rockdale Ilinden 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

NWS Spirit Rockdale Ilinden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

NWS Spirit scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Rockdale Ilinden has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

NWS Spirit has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

NWS Spirit VS Rockdale Ilinden

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

NWS Spirit

(Home)

25 Jul

NWS Spirit

0 : 4

Western Sydney Wanderers U21

18 Jul

UNSW

3 : 1

NWS Spirit

11 Jul

NWS Spirit

3 : 1

St George Saints

05 Jul

Rockdale Ilinden

1 : 1

NWS Spirit

27 Jun

NWS Spirit

2 : 0

Wollongong

Page 1 of 7

Rockdale Ilinden

(Away)

18 Jul

St George Saints

1 : 6

Rockdale Ilinden

12 Jul

Sydney Utd

1 : 0

Rockdale Ilinden

05 Jul

Rockdale Ilinden

1 : 1

NWS Spirit

28 Jun

APIA Leichhardt

0 : 2

Rockdale Ilinden

20 Jun

Sydney Olympic

0 : 4

Rockdale Ilinden

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	APIA Leichhardt	25	18	3	4	56:31	57
2	Marconi Stallions	25	17	4	4	46:17	55
3	Sydney Utd	25	16	3	6	35:18	51
4	Rockdale Ilinden	24	12	3	9	42:33	39
5	Sutherland Sharks	24	11	3	10	37:31	36
6	Sydney FC U23	25	10	6	9	32:34	36
7	Manly Utd	25	9	7	9	29:29	34
8	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	25	9	5	11	49:39	32
9	Wollongong	24	9	5	10	28:32	32
10	SD Raiders	25	9	5	11	35:42	32
11	UNSW	25	9	4	12	36:40	31
12	NWS Spirit	25	9	4	12	28:34	31
13	St. George City	25	7	7	11	23:40	28
14	Blacktown City	24	6	7	11	33:39	25
15	St George Saints	25	6	2	17	23:45	20
16	Sydney Olympic	25	5	4	16	26:54	19

Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)

Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)

Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)