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Nyiregyhaza vs Karcagi

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nyiregyhaza play Karcagi in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nyiregyhaza averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Karcagi averaged 1 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Nyiregyhaza won 4, Karcagi won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 9, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Nyiregyhaza and 1.31 for Karcagi. This points to a Nyiregyhaza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nyiregyhaza
23%
Draws
31%
Karcagi
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Nyiregyhaza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nyiregyhaza picked up more points recently compared to Karcagi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Nyiregyhaza Clean Sheet 18%
Karcagi Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyiregyhaza Karcagi
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Nyiregyhaza vs Karcagi
3:0
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Karcagi vs Nyiregyhaza
0:4
Apr 7, 2007 NB II - East
Nyiregyhaza vs Karcagi
2:0
Sep 10, 2006 NB II - East
Karcagi vs Nyiregyhaza
1:4
Apr 22, 2006 NB II - East
Nyiregyhaza vs Karcagi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nyiregyhaza Compare

Top Goalscorer Edomwonyi B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Karcagi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyiregyhaza 45 / 100
Karcagi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyiregyhaza Karcagi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nyiregyhaza or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nyiregyhaza attacking → ← attacking Karcagi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nyiregyhaza scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

Karcagi let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Nyiregyhaza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Karcagi lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 33
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13