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Nykobing vs Naesby

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026 Lollands Bank Park, Nykobing Falster
Nykobing Logo

Nykobing

3 - 2
FT
Naesby Logo

Naesby

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Host K.
14' Event
Ogude E.
27' Event
Larsen R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nykobing in this 3rd Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nykobing.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Nykobing
20%
Draws
19%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nykobing

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nykobing lately — more wins on the board than Naesby.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Nykobing taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nykobing have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Nykobing Clean Sheet 10%
Naesby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nykobing Naesby
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 25 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 0 9
Goals Scored 2.89 2.24
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 3rd Division
Nykobing vs Naesby
3:2
Apr 18, 2026 3rd Division
Naesby vs Nykobing
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 3rd Division
Nykobing vs Naesby
5:3
Sep 20, 2025 3rd Division
Naesby vs Nykobing
2:2
Oct 18, 2022 Betano Pokalen
Naesby vs Nykobing
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nykobing Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakobsen O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ogude E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Naesby Compare

Top Goalscorer Host K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larsen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nykobing 83 / 100
Naesby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nykobing Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nykobing Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nykobing's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Nykobing remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Naesby let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nykobing VS Naesby
3.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nykobing

(Home)
18 Sept
Nykobing
3 : 0
Hellerup
13 Sept
Nykobing
3 : 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000
09 Sept
Nykobing
6 : 5
Middelfart
06 Sept
Thisted FC
0 : 3
Nykobing
28 Aug
Nykobing
2 : 2
Roskilde
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Naesby

(Away)
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nykobing 32 26 5 1 80:23 83
2 Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 32 16 7 9 42:32 55
3 Naesby 32 16 5 11 63:50 53
4 Bronshoj 32 11 10 11 48:57 43
5 Vanlose 32 11 7 14 37:44 40
6 Horsholm-Usserod 32 9 6 17 47:63 33
Promotion - 2nd Division (Main)