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Nykopings vs Trosa-Vagnharads SK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nykopings play Trosa-Vagnharads SK in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2022. Nykopings are favorites here. Recently, Nykopings averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Trosa-Vagnharads SK averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. In past meetings, Nykopings won 4, Trosa-Vagnharads SK won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 2, 2022 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Nykopings and 1.00 for Trosa-Vagnharads SK. This points to a Nykopings double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nykopings
25%
Draws
15%
Trosa-Vagnharads SK
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Nykopings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Nykopings picked up more points recently compared to Trosa-Vagnharads SK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Nykopings Clean Sheet 23%
Trosa-Vagnharads SK Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nykopings Trosa-Vagnharads SK
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 24 3
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2022 Svenska Cupen
Trosa-Vagnharads SK vs Nykopings
0:5
Jun 22, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Trosa-Vagnharads SK
4:1
Apr 10, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Trosa-Vagnharads SK vs Nykopings
1:1
Aug 4, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Trosa-Vagnharads SK
4:0
Jun 9, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Trosa-Vagnharads SK vs Nykopings
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nykopings 59 / 100
Trosa-Vagnharads SK 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nykopings Trosa-Vagnharads SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nykopings Win (1)
Secondary Pick Nykopings & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nykopings attacking → ← attacking Trosa-Vagnharads SK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nykopings scored in 83% of their last 42 games.

Trosa-Vagnharads SK let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Nykopings went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Trosa-Vagnharads SK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

81 Points in last 5 18
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nordic United26192562:3559
2Assyriska FF26177262:2158
3Syrianska26156565:3951
4Nykopings26155656:2850
5Huddinge26126855:3742
6Smedby261311256:5140
7Sleipner261241046:4640
8Karlbergs26116945:3439
9Enskede261041241:4734
10IFK Eskilstuna26941342:5931
11Arameisk-Syrianska26741532:5425
12Lidingo IFK26561546:5621
13Trosa-Vagnharads SK26291528:7115
14Varmbols26222219:778