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Nyva Ternopil vs Fenix Mariupol

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Nyva Ternopil and Fenix Mariupol finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nyva Ternopil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Nyva Ternopil
20%
Draws
57%
Fenix Mariupol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fenix Mariupol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Fenix Mariupol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Fenix Mariupol taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 14%
Fenix Mariupol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Ternopil Fenix Mariupol
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.72 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Fenix Mariupol
0:3
Mar 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Nyva Ternopil vs Fenix Mariupol
3:2
Oct 19, 2025 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Nyva Ternopil
0:2
May 23, 2025 Persha Liga
Fenix Mariupol vs Nyva Ternopil
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Fenix Mariupol
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Ternopil 10 / 100
Fenix Mariupol 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Ternopil Fenix Mariupol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fenix Mariupol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Fenix Mariupol has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Nyva Ternopil found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Nyva Ternopil remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nyva Ternopil VS Fenix Mariupol
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyva Ternopil

(Home)
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
30 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
22 Aug
Nyva Ternopil
0 : 4
Bukovyna
16 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
07 Aug
UCSA
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
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Fenix Mariupol

(Away)
05 Sept
Fenix Mariupol
1 : 1
Kulikiv
28 Aug
Lokomotyv Kyiv
1 : 3
Fenix Mariupol
20 Aug
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 6
Fenix Mariupol
16 Aug
Fenix Mariupol
3 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
09 Aug
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 3
SC Poltava
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