Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Metalist Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga OSC Metalist, Kharkiv
Sun, Aug 30, 2026
VS
11:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Metalist Kharkiv host Nyva Ternopil in the Persha Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Metalist Kharkiv at 1.07 goals for, 1.14 against; Nyva Ternopil at 0.79 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Metalist Kharkiv have won 1 to Nyva Ternopil's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.88, favoring Metalist Kharkiv. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Metalist Kharkiv
35%
Draws
30%
Nyva Ternopil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metalist Kharkiv come out ahead of Nyva Ternopil on wins alone.
  • Metalist Kharkiv are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 20%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Metalist Kharkiv Nyva Ternopil
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.07 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Metalist Kharkiv
2:0
Oct 13, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil
2:0
Aug 25, 2024 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Nyva Ternopil
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Metalist Kharkiv 42 / 100
Nyva Ternopil 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Metalist Kharkiv Nyva Ternopil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nyva Ternopil let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Metalist Kharkiv scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Metalist Kharkiv remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Metalist Kharkiv VS Nyva Ternopil
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Metalist Kharkiv

(Home)
15 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
09 Aug
Zhytomyr 2
0 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
01 Aug
Metalist Kharkiv
3 : 1
Probiy Horodenka
26 Jul
Kulikiv
2 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
14 Jul
Bukovyna
1 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

Nyva Ternopil

(Away)
16 Aug
Inhulets
1 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
07 Aug
UCSA
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
01 Aug
SC Poltava
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
24 Jul
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
18 Jul
Veres Rivne
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 SC Poltava 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
3 Oleksandriya 4 2 2 0 10:5 8
4 Kulikiv 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
6 UCSA 4 1 3 0 7:6 6
7 Metalist Kharkiv 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
8 Nyva Ternopil 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
9 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
10 FC Chernihiv 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
11 Inhulets 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
12 Lokomotyv Kyiv 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
13 Fenix Mariupol 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
14 Kolos Kovalivka 2 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
15 Zhytomyr 2 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
16 Probiy Horodenka 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)