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Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandriya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Ternopilsky Misky Stadion, Ternopil
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nyva Ternopil host Oleksandriya in the Persha Liga. This one's hard to separate. Nyva Ternopil have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Oleksandriya's 1.46 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Nyva Ternopil have won 0 to Oleksandriya's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.06) back Oleksandriya to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Nyva Ternopil
35%
Draws
23%
Oleksandriya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nyva Ternopil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Oleksandriya have won more games recently than Nyva Ternopil.
  • Model gives Nyva Ternopil a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 20%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Ternopil Oleksandriya
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Persha Liga
Oleksandriya vs Nyva Ternopil
1:1
Apr 14, 2015 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandriya
0:1
Aug 31, 2014 Persha Liga
Oleksandriya vs Nyva Ternopil
3:0
May 18, 2014 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs Oleksandriya
2:4
Oct 4, 2013 Persha Liga
Oleksandriya vs Nyva Ternopil
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Ternopil 67 / 100
Oleksandriya 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Ternopil Oleksandriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Ternopil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Nyva Ternopil remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Oleksandriya conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Nyva Ternopil found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Nyva Ternopil VS Oleksandriya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyva Ternopil

(Home)
01 Nov
Probiy Horodenka
2 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
25 Oct
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kulikiv
18 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
11 Oct
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

Oleksandriya

(Away)
02 Nov
Zhytomyr 2
0 : 0
Oleksandriya
29 Oct
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 1
Oleksandriya
24 Oct
Oleksandriya
2 : 0
Probiy Horodenka
18 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 1
Oleksandriya
11 Oct
Oleksandriya
1 : 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 14 8 4 2 19:11 28
2 Fenix Mariupol 14 8 3 3 23:14 27
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 13 8 2 3 22:14 26
4 Kulikiv 14 7 3 4 28:17 24
5 Oleksandriya 14 6 6 2 19:11 24
6 SC Poltava 14 7 3 4 25:13 24
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 14 5 5 4 19:17 20
8 Nyva Ternopil 14 4 7 3 17:13 19
9 Metalist Kharkiv 14 5 3 6 17:16 18
10 Inhulets 13 5 2 6 14:18 17
11 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 4 4 6 13:18 16
12 UCSA 14 3 5 6 18:23 14
13 Kolos Kovalivka 2 14 4 1 9 12:26 13
14 FC Chernihiv 12 2 4 6 13:19 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 14 2 4 8 14:34 10
16 Zhytomyr 2 14 1 6 7 18:27 9
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)