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Nyva Ternopil vs SC Poltava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga Ternopilsky Misky Stadion, Ternopil
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nyva Ternopil host SC Poltava in the Persha Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Nyva Ternopil have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against SC Poltava's 1.21 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Nyva Ternopil slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.38) back Nyva Ternopil to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nyva Ternopil
30%
Draws
35%
SC Poltava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • SC Poltava carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nyva Ternopil a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 17%
SC Poltava Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Ternopil SC Poltava
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 13 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.86 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Persha Liga
SC Poltava vs Nyva Ternopil
1:1
Sep 18, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Nyva Ternopil vs SC Poltava
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Ternopil 41 / 100
SC Poltava 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Ternopil SC Poltava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Nyva Ternopil remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

SC Poltava let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Nyva Ternopil's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nyva Ternopil VS SC Poltava
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyva Ternopil

(Home)
01 Nov
Probiy Horodenka
2 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
25 Oct
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kulikiv
18 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
11 Oct
Nyva Ternopil
3 : 1
Kolos Kovalivka 2
05 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
0 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
Page 1 of 6

SC Poltava

(Away)
01 Nov
Victoria
2 : 1
SC Poltava
24 Oct
Zhytomyr 2
1 : 2
SC Poltava
17 Oct
SC Poltava
4 : 0
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2
SC Poltava
02 Oct
SC Poltava
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 14 8 4 2 19:11 28
2 Fenix Mariupol 14 8 3 3 23:14 27
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 13 8 2 3 22:14 26
4 Kulikiv 14 7 3 4 28:17 24
5 Oleksandriya 14 6 6 2 19:11 24
6 SC Poltava 14 7 3 4 25:13 24
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 14 5 5 4 19:17 20
8 Nyva Ternopil 14 4 7 3 17:13 19
9 Metalist Kharkiv 14 5 3 6 17:16 18
10 Inhulets 13 5 2 6 14:18 17
11 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 4 4 6 13:18 16
12 UCSA 14 3 5 6 18:23 14
13 Kolos Kovalivka 2 14 4 1 9 12:26 13
14 FC Chernihiv 12 2 4 6 13:19 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 14 2 4 8 14:34 10
16 Zhytomyr 2 14 1 6 7 18:27 9
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)