Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nyva Ternopil vs UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nyva Ternopil play UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka in the Druha Liga 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nyva Ternopil averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, Nyva Ternopil won 3, UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2014 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Nyva Ternopil and 1.19 for UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka. This points to a UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nyva Ternopil
26%
Draws
38%
UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Nyva Ternopil picked up more points recently compared to UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Nyva Ternopil Clean Sheet 20%
UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 50%
Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Ternopil UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.89 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.84

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2014 Persha Liga
UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka vs Nyva Ternopil
0:0
Oct 13, 2013 Persha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka
2:0
Sep 26, 2013 Ukrainian Cup
Nyva Ternopil vs UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka
3:0
May 15, 2012 Druha Liga
UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka vs Nyva Ternopil
3:0
Oct 1, 2011 Druha Liga
Nyva Ternopil vs UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Ternopil 36 / 100
UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Ternopil UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nyva Ternopil attacking → ← attacking UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nyva Ternopil scored in 53% of their last 38 games.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Nyva Ternopil went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 48
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sumy26213251:1366
2Desna26185348:1959
3Cherkashchyna26158336:1653
4Nova Kakhovka26157451:1852
5UkrAhroKom Pryiutivka26146643:2548
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (2004)26116940:3233
7Real Pharma Odesa26961128:4133
8Krystal26951230:3232
9Skala Stryj26841426:3628
10FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi26641623:5022
11Ch. Odesa 226551619:2020
12Nyva Ternopil26961130:4118
13Yednist26361719:5715
14Yalpuh Bolhrad26212310:547
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SC Poltava26185350:1959
2Kramatorsk 226191641:1558
3Shakhter Sverdlovsk26156549:2351
4Kryvbas Krivoy Rog26163744:2251
5Kremin26163734:2351
6Stal Kamianske26153834:1948
7Myr Hornostajivka26137636:2646
8Shakhtar 3261011546:5631
9Hirnyk-Sport26681228:3926
10FC Sevastopol 226731626:5124
11Dnipro II26651524:4523
12SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 226531819:4318
13FC Mariupol II26521925:4717
14FC Nikopol26521920:4817