Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nyva Vinnytsya vs Bastion Illichivsk

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Druha Liga 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nyva Vinnytsya
6%
Draws
90%
Bastion Illichivsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bastion Illichivsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nyva Vinnytsya have won more games recently than Bastion Illichivsk.
  • Model gives Bastion Illichivsk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 20%
Bastion Illichivsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Vinnytsya Bastion Illichivsk
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2010 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Bastion Illichivsk
1:1
Sep 4, 2009 Druha Liga
Bastion Illichivsk vs Nyva Vinnytsya
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Vinnytsya 10 / 100
Bastion Illichivsk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Vinnytsya Bastion Illichivsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nyva Vinnytsya's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Bastion Illichivsk conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Nyva Vinnytsya has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nyva Vinnytsya VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyva Vinnytsya

(Home)
18 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
03 Jul
Obolon
2 : 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
28 Jun
Nyva Vinnytsya
1 : 4
Epitsentr
22 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
16 May
Nyva Vinnytsya
:
Lisne
Page 1 of 8

Bastion Illichivsk

(Away)
25 Jul
Hvardiyets Hvardiyske
:
Bastion Illichivsk
04 Jun
Bastion Illichivsk
1 : 1
Desna
28 May
Yednist
1 : 2
Bastion Illichivsk
21 May
Bastion Illichivsk
:
Veres Rivne
14 May
FC Ros Bila Tserkva
2 : 3
Bastion Illichivsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna20153235:1248
2Nyva Vinnytsya20124443:1640
3Bastion Illichivsk20117244:2040
4MFK Mykolaiv20116330:1339
5FK Dynamo Khmelnytskyi20103728:1633
6Yednist2085722:2129
7FC Ros Bila Tserkva20631118:3021
8Lviv 22047913:2519
9Veres Rivne20441216:4116
10Karpaty Lviv 220511417:4316
11Skala Stryj20131611:406
Promotion - Persha Liga 2010/2011 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Titan A.26213250:2066
2Kremin26159241:2154
3SC Poltava26166434:1654
4Stal Kamianske26156538:2351
5Olimpik Donetsk26154745:2849
6Shakhter Sverdlovsk26137626:1546
7Shakhtar 3261061033:2936
8Sumy261061032:3436
9Kryvbas Krivoy Rog26841429:4328
10Olkom Melitopol26751431:4226
11Hirnyk-Sport26571421:3522
12FC Mariupol II26431916:4015
13FC Dnipro 7526451719:2114
14SK Metalurh Zaporizhya 226312218:6610
Promotion - Persha Liga 2010/2011 (Main)