Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Zagorulko A.
18'
18'
Pogorilyi V.
28'
28'
Ryabyi I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 7-0, with Nyva Vinnytsya advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Nyva Vinnytsya come out ahead of Hirnyk-Sport on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Nyva Vinnytsya's way, sitting at 60%.
- Nyva Vinnytsya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nyva Vinnytsya, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 68%
Hirnyk-Sport Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nyva Vinnytsya | Hirnyk-Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2025 Ukrainian Cup
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Hirnyk-Sport
7:0
May 3, 2025 Druha Liga
Hirnyk-Sport vs Nyva Vinnytsya
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Hirnyk-Sport
0:2
Aug 22, 2018 Ukrainian Cup
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Hirnyk-Sport
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nyva Vinnytsya Compare
Top Goalscorer Zagorulko A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pogorilyi V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Hirnyk-Sport Compare
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nyva Vinnytsya 68 / 100
Hirnyk-Sport 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nyva Vinnytsya Hirnyk-Sport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NYV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Nyva Vinnytsya found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Hirnyk-Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Hirnyk-Sport's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nyva Vinnytsya VS Hirnyk-Sport
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nyva Vinnytsya
(Home) 18 Jul
Ch. Odesa
2 : 1 Nyva Vinnytsya
03 Jul
Obolon
2 : 0 Nyva Vinnytsya
28 Jun
Nyva Vinnytsya
1 : 4 Epitsentr
22 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 0 Nyva Vinnytsya
16 May
Nyva Vinnytsya
: Lisne
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Nyva Vinnytsya
1 : 4 Epitsentr
16 May
Nyva Vinnytsya
: Lisne
06 May
Nyva Vinnytsya
1 : 1 Skala 1911
18 Apr
Nyva Vinnytsya
1 : 1 Zhytomyr 2
08 Apr
Nyva Vinnytsya
3 : 0 Real Pharma Odesa
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Hirnyk-Sport
(Away) 22 May
Hirnyk-Sport
1 : 1 Trostyanets
16 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
10 May
Hirnyk-Sport
1 : 1 Kolos Kovalivka 2
06 May
Dinaz Vyshgorod
4 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
01 May
Hirnyk-Sport
2 : 3 Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Lokomotyv Kyiv
6 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
06 May
Dinaz Vyshgorod
4 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
19 Apr
Ch. Odesa 2
1 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
08 Apr
Rebel Kyiv
4 : 0 Hirnyk-Sport
29 Mar
Oleksandriya 2
1 : 2 Hirnyk-Sport
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka3
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)2
Dinaz Vyshgorod0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
Kolos Polonne1
Naftovyk Dolyna0
FC Kharkiv2
Obolon0
Lokomotyv Kyiv3
Kolos Kovalivka2
Korosten0
Veres Rivne4
Nyva Vinnytsya3
UCSA0
Hirnyk-Sport1
Trostyanets0
FC Chernihiv1
Atlet Kiev0
Kulikiv0
Kryvbas3
FC Vilkhivtsi1
Olympia Savyntsi2
Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka0
Lisne4
Epitsentr1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa2
Zorya1
Fazenda0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
FC Uzhhorod1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv2
Mayak Sarny0
LNZ Cherkasy1
Probiy Horodenka0
Kormil Yavoriv1
Rukh Lviv2
TBD-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
Lozova0
Bukovyna3
Penuel Kryvyi Rih0
Karpaty Lviv8
Real Pharma Odesa0
Nyva Ternopil3
Iron1
SC Poltava5
Oleksandriya-
TBD-
TBD-
Dynamo Kyiv-
Polissya Stavky3
Rebel Kyiv0
TBD-
Shakhtar-
Livyi Bereg1
Kudrivka0
Victoria1
Vorskla Poltava0
Karbon Cherkasy1
Inhulets2
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
Skala 19110
1/16-finals
Denhoff Denykhivka0
Ahrobiznes Volochysk2
Kolos Polonne1
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Veres Rivne0
Nyva Vinnytsya7
Hirnyk-Sport0
FC Chernihiv3
Kryvbas0
Olympia Savyntsi1
Lisne2
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka2
Ch. Odesa1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya1
Fenix Mariupol2
Metalist Kharkiv0
LNZ Cherkasy2
Rukh Lviv3
Polissya Zhytomyr0
Bukovyna1
Karpaty Lviv0
Nyva Ternopil3
SC Poltava0
Oleksandriya1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Polissya Stavky0
Shakhtar1
Livyi Bereg0
Victoria1
Inhulets4
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi1
1/8-finals
Ahrobiznes Volochysk3
FC Kharkiv4
Lokomotyv Kyiv1
Nyva Vinnytsya0
FC Chernihiv2
Lisne1
Ahrotekh Tyshkivka1
Fenix Mariupol2
LNZ Cherkasy1
Rukh Lviv0
Bukovyna2
Nyva Ternopil1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Shakhtar1
Victoria0
Inhulets1
Quarter-finals
FC Kharkiv3
Lokomotyv Kyiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Fenix Mariupol0
LNZ Cherkasy0
Bukovyna1
Dynamo Kyiv2
Inhulets0
Semi-finals
FC Kharkiv0
FC Chernihiv1
Bukovyna0
Dynamo Kyiv3
Final
FC Chernihiv1
Dynamo Kyiv3