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Nyva Vinnytsya vs Real Pharma Odesa

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga 2025/2026
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Match Events

60' Event
Zagorulko A.
62' Event
Petruk N.
86' Event
Petryk A.

AI Match Summary

Nyva Vinnytsya in this Druha Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nyva Vinnytsya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nyva Vinnytsya
20%
Draws
23%
Real Pharma Odesa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Pharma Odesa haven't matched Nyva Vinnytsya's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nyva Vinnytsya's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Druha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Nyva Vinnytsya have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 20%
Real Pharma Odesa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Vinnytsya Real Pharma Odesa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 1
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 26
Goals Scored 1.38 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Real Pharma Odesa
3:0
Nov 12, 2025 Druha Liga
Real Pharma Odesa vs Nyva Vinnytsya
0:5
Sep 7, 2025 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Real Pharma Odesa
3:0
May 17, 2024 Druha Liga
Real Pharma Odesa vs Nyva Vinnytsya
0:4
Oct 21, 2023 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Real Pharma Odesa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nyva Vinnytsya Compare

Top Goalscorer Zagorulko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petruk N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Real Pharma Odesa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Vinnytsya 85 / 100
Real Pharma Odesa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Vinnytsya Real Pharma Odesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pharma Odesa let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Nyva Vinnytsya scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Nyva Vinnytsya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nyva Vinnytsya VS Real Pharma Odesa
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyva Vinnytsya

(Home)
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
4 : 1
Nyva Ternopil 2
29 Aug
Bratslav Vinnytsia
0 : 0
Nyva Vinnytsya
22 Aug
Nyva Vinnytsya
3 : 2
Rukh Lviv
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Real Pharma Odesa

(Away)
22 May
Real Pharma Odesa
0 : 3
Kulikiv
10 May
Bukovyna 2
2 : 1
Real Pharma Odesa
01 May
FC Uzhhorod
2 : 2
Real Pharma Odesa
25 Apr
Real Pharma Odesa
:
Lisne
25 Apr
Real Pharma Odesa
1 : 5
FC Vilkhivtsi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kulikiv 30 21 5 4 58:18 68
2 Zhytomyr 2 30 18 9 3 69:22 63
3 Nyva Vinnytsya 30 15 6 9 42:32 51
4 Nyva Ternopil 2 30 16 2 12 30:43 50
5 Atlet Kiev 30 14 4 12 45:48 46
6 FC Uzhhorod 30 13 5 12 40:37 44
7 Skala 1911 30 13 5 12 62:48 44
8 FC Vilkhivtsi 30 12 5 13 50:46 41
9 Bukovyna 2 30 7 6 17 31:57 27
10 Real Pharma Odesa 30 1 4 25 18:96 7
11 Lisne 30 8 3 19 32:30 27
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotyv Kyiv 30 22 4 4 65:16 70
2 Kolos Kovalivka 2 30 21 6 3 64:22 69
3 Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka 30 17 6 7 58:41 57
4 Rebel Kyiv 30 15 5 10 34:27 50
5 Livyi Bereg 2 30 13 9 8 50:28 48
6 Trostyanets 30 13 8 9 46:31 47
7 Oleksandriya 2 30 12 8 10 37:32 44
8 Ch. Odesa 2 30 5 9 16 25:56 24
9 Dinaz Vyshgorod 30 5 4 21 26:62 19
10 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 30 3 8 19 27:64 17
11 Hirnyk-Sport 30 3 5 22 20:73 14
Promotion - Persha Liga (Main)
Promotion - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Additional match)