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Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Druha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Pogorilyi V.
85' Event
Ugrynchuk A.
90' Event
Melnyk O.

AI Match Summary

The Druha Liga game between Nyva Vinnytsya and Rukh Lviv finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nyva Vinnytsya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nyva Vinnytsya
15%
Draws
0%
Rukh Lviv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nyva Vinnytsya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rukh Lviv haven't matched Nyva Vinnytsya's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Nyva Vinnytsya a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nyva Vinnytsya Clean Sheet 17%
Rukh Lviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nyva Vinnytsya Rukh Lviv
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.5 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ukrainian Cup
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv
3:2
Aug 1, 2026 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv
2:1
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Rukh Lviv vs Nyva Vinnytsya
5:0
May 8, 2017 Druha Liga
Nyva Vinnytsya vs Rukh Lviv
2:0
Oct 1, 2016 Druha Liga
Rukh Lviv vs Nyva Vinnytsya
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nyva Vinnytsya Compare

Top Goalscorer Pogorilyi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melnyk O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Rukh Lviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugrynchuk A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nyva Vinnytsya 84 / 100
Rukh Lviv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nyva Vinnytsya Rukh Lviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nyva Vinnytsya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nyva Vinnytsya scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Rukh Lviv has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Rukh Lviv registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nyva Vinnytsya VS Rukh Lviv
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nyva Vinnytsya

(Home)
03 Oct
Skala 1911
2 : 2
Nyva Vinnytsya
26 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
2 : 0
Dnister Zalishchyky
19 Sept
Dinaz Vyshgorod
0 : 1
Nyva Vinnytsya
10 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
04 Sept
Nyva Vinnytsya
4 : 1
Nyva Ternopil 2
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Rukh Lviv

(Away)
04 Oct
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
Bratslav Vinnytsia
27 Sept
FC Vilkhivtsi
2 : 1
Rukh Lviv
20 Sept
Rukh Lviv
2 : 3
FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi
14 Sept
Nyva Ternopil 2
1 : 0
Rukh Lviv
05 Sept
Skala 1911
1 : 0
Rukh Lviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bratslav Vinnytsia 9 7 2 0 25:8 23
2 Nyva Vinnytsya 8 4 3 1 14:8 15
3 Dnister Zalishchyky 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
4 FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
5 FC Vilkhivtsi 9 3 3 3 11:13 12
6 Nyva Ternopil 2 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
7 Skala 1911 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
8 Dinaz Vyshgorod 8 1 4 3 12:18 7
9 Rukh Lviv 8 1 0 7 13:16 3
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karbon Cherkasy 8 4 3 1 13:9 15
2 Lozova 8 4 1 3 9:9 13
3 Atlet Kiev 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
4 SC Poltava 2 9 3 2 4 5:7 11
5 Rebel Kyiv 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
6 Oleksandriya 2 8 2 4 2 8:7 10
7 Trostyanets 7 2 4 1 8:5 10
8 MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Penuel Kryvyi Rih 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)