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Nzeidane vs Chemal

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Nzeidane Logo

Nzeidane

1 - 0
FT
Chemal Logo

Chemal

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ekbad M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nzeidane in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nzeidane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Nzeidane
30%
Draws
33%
Chemal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nzeidane lately — more wins on the board than Chemal.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Nzeidane taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 19%
Chemal Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nzeidane Chemal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Nzeidane
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Chemal
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Nzeidane
2:0
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Chemal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nzeidane Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekbad M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chemal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nzeidane 67 / 100
Chemal 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nzeidane Chemal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nzeidane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nzeidane scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Nzeidane has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chemal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nzeidane VS Chemal
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nzeidane

(Home)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
Page 1 of 6

Chemal

(Away)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)