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Nzeidane vs Douane

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Nzeidane Logo

Nzeidane

3 - 0
FT
Douane Logo

Douane

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Seyid M.
45' Event
Salem M.
85' Event
Salem M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nzeidane and Douane finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nzeidane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Nzeidane
35%
Draws
14%
Douane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nzeidane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nzeidane a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 18%
Douane Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nzeidane Douane
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.53 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Douane
3:0
Jan 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Douane vs Nzeidane
0:1
Apr 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Nzeidane
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Douane
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nzeidane Compare

Top Goalscorer Salem M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Seyid M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Douane Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nzeidane 85 / 100
Douane 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nzeidane Douane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nzeidane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nzeidane found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Nzeidane has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Douane let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Nzeidane VS Douane
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nzeidane

(Home)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
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Douane

(Away)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Douane
2 : 2
Nouadhibou
29 Apr
SNIM
0 : 0
Douane
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)