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Nzeidane vs Gendrim

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gueye I.
90' Event
Moussa K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Nzeidane
35%
Draws
27%
Gendrim
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Nzeidane have won more games recently than Gendrim.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Nzeidane taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 20%
Gendrim Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nzeidane Gendrim
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.53 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Gendrim
1:1
Dec 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Nzeidane
1:2
Feb 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Gendrim
0:0
Sep 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Gendrim vs Nzeidane
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nzeidane Compare

Top Goalscorer Moussa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gendrim Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nzeidane 85 / 100
Gendrim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nzeidane Gendrim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nzeidane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nzeidane scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Nzeidane remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Gendrim conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Nzeidane VS Gendrim
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nzeidane

(Home)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
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Gendrim

(Away)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
13 Apr
Gendrim
1 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)