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Nzeidane vs Kaedi

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Nzeidane Logo

Nzeidane

4 - 3
FT
Kaedi Logo

Kaedi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nzeidane and Kaedi finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nzeidane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nzeidane
30%
Draws
27%
Kaedi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Nzeidane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Nzeidane taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 20%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nzeidane Kaedi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.53 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Nzeidane
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Kaedi
4:3
Feb 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Nzeidane
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Kaedi
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nzeidane 85 / 100
Kaedi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nzeidane Kaedi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nzeidane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nzeidane found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Nzeidane went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kaedi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nzeidane VS Kaedi
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nzeidane

(Home)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
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Kaedi

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)