Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nzeidane vs Tevragh-Zeina

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
El Moctar A.
13' Event
Diop C.
45' Event
Moussa K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Nzeidane and Tevragh-Zeina finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nzeidane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Nzeidane
30%
Draws
27%
Tevragh-Zeina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Nzeidane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nzeidane's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 20%
Tevragh-Zeina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nzeidane Tevragh-Zeina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Tevragh-Zeina
4:1
Dec 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Nzeidane
2:2
May 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Tevragh-Zeina
2:1
Jan 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Nzeidane
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nzeidane Compare

Top Goalscorer Moussa K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diop C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tevragh-Zeina Compare

Top Goalscorer El Moctar A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nzeidane 85 / 100
Tevragh-Zeina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nzeidane Tevragh-Zeina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nzeidane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nzeidane's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Nzeidane went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tevragh-Zeina conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nzeidane VS Tevragh-Zeina
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nzeidane

(Home)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
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Tevragh-Zeina

(Away)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
20 May
Tevragh-Zeina
0 : 2
SNIM
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)