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O Higgins vs Bahia

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Gonzalez F.
14'
Gomez R.
17'
Olivera C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with O Higgins advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
O Higgins
40%
Draws
29%
Bahia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bahia haven't matched O Higgins's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • O Higgins have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor O Higgins, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
O Higgins Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric O Higgins Bahia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Bahia vs O Higgins
2:2
Feb 18, 2026 Copa Libertadores
O Higgins vs Bahia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

O Higgins Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bahia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

O Higgins 32 / 100
Bahia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
O Higgins Bahia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O Higgins scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Bahia conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

O Higgins has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

O Higgins VS Bahia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

O Higgins

(Home)
02 Aug
La Serena
1 : 2
O Higgins
31 Jul
O Higgins
1 : 1
Boca Juniors
27 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
O Higgins
24 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
O Higgins
13 Jul
O Higgins
2 : 0
Nublense
Page 1 of 6

Bahia

(Away)
30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0
Bahia
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1
Corinthians
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Bahia
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0
Chapecoense-SC
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0
Bahia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Juventud 5
U. Catolica 4
TBD -
Guarani -
Liverpool M. -
TBD -
TBD -
Ind. Medellin -
The Strongest 2
Dep. Tachira 3
TBD -
Deportes Tolima -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
2 de Mayo 2
A. Lima 1
TBD -
Sporting Cristal -
Carabobo -
TBD -
TBD -
Huachipato -
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Argentinos Jrs -
Nacional Potosi -
TBD -
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
Semi-finals
Juventud 2
Guarani 1
Liverpool M. 1
Ind. Medellin 2
Dep. Tachira 1
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 3
Bahia 2
2 de Mayo 2
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 3
Huachipato 1
Barcelona SC 2
Argentinos Jrs 1
Nacional Potosi 1
Botafogo RJ 2
Final
Juventud 2
Ind. Medellin 3
Deportes Tolima 2
O Higgins 1
Sporting Cristal 3
Carabobo 2
Barcelona SC 2
Botafogo RJ 1