Sport Picks
Oakland Roots vs Lexington - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum, Oakland, CA 
Match Events
11'
11'
McCabe T.
22'
22'
Goodrum P.
Assist: Zengue X.
46'
46'
Sub
Bravo J. In: Byaruhanga B.
Out: Bravo J.
AI Match Summary
Lexington in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lexington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
20%
48%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lexington
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lexington have won more games recently than Oakland Roots.
- Model gives Lexington a 48% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Lexington have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 16%
Lexington Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Lexington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Lexington
1:4
Jul 22, 2026 USL Championship
Lexington vs Oakland Roots
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Lexington
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 USL Championship
Lexington vs Oakland Roots
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oakland Roots Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lexington Compare
Top Goalscorer Goodrum P.
3 Goals Assists Leader Epps M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oakland Roots 28 / 100
Lexington 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oakland Roots Lexington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lexington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Oakland Roots scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Lexington has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Oakland Roots remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Oakland Roots VS Lexington
1 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Oakland Roots
(Home) 04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
02 Aug
Oakland Roots
0 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 3
Lexington
(Away) 03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0 Orange County SC
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Lexington
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1 Lexington
16 Aug
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Lexington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
