Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Laney College Football Stadium, Oakland, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bruno Lapa
Assist: de Vicente J.
22' Event
Trejo D.
Assist: Jacquesson B.
30'
Flores D.

AI Match Summary

Oakland Roots in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oakland Roots.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Oakland Roots
30%
Draws
23%
Phoenix Rising
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oakland Roots

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Phoenix Rising lately — more wins on the board than Oakland Roots.
  • Oakland Roots are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 20%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oakland Roots Phoenix Rising
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising
3:0
Jun 21, 2026 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
3:4
Mar 22, 2026 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
3:3
Jul 13, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oakland Roots Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Lapa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trejo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Phoenix Rising Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oakland Roots 67 / 100
Phoenix Rising 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oakland Roots Phoenix Rising

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oakland Roots Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phoenix Rising let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Oakland Roots scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Oakland Roots went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oakland Roots VS Phoenix Rising
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oakland Roots

(Home)
04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
Oakland Roots
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0
Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6

Phoenix Rising

(Away)
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0
Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3
El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1
FC Tulsa
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)