Sport Picks
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
USA
USL Championship Laney College Football Stadium, Oakland, CA 
Match Events
16'
16'
Valot F.
19'
19'
Rodriguez M.
Assist: Gurr J.
21'
21'
Valot F.
Assist: Tingey K.
AI Match Summary
Sacramento Republic in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sacramento Republic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sacramento Republic lately — more wins on the board than Oakland Roots.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 20%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oakland Roots | Sacramento Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
1:3
May 17, 2026 USL Cup
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots
3:3
May 4, 2025 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oakland Roots Compare
Top Goalscorer Valot F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Sacramento Republic Compare
Top Goalscorer Edwards K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rodriguez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oakland Roots 32 / 100
Sacramento Republic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oakland Roots Sacramento Republic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Oakland Roots scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Sacramento Republic conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Oakland Roots went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oakland Roots VS Sacramento Republic
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Oakland Roots
(Home) 20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
23 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
16 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Monterey Bay
02 Aug
Oakland Roots
0 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
26 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 3
Sacramento Republic
(Away) 20 Sept
Sacramento Republic
0 : 0 San Antonio FC
13 Sept
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Detroit City
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
23 Aug
Sacramento Republic
2 : 2 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
30 Aug
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
08 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0 Sacramento Republic
06 Aug
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 Sacramento Republic
26 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28:26 | 38 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:24 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 41:40 | 36 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40:37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 37 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 29:28 | 37 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:43 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
