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Oakland Roots vs Spokane Velocity

USA USA

USL Cup Laney College Football Stadium
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Oakland Roots play Spokane Velocity in the USL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oakland Roots averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Spokane Velocity averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Oakland Roots won 0, Spokane Velocity won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Oakland Roots and 1.19 for Spokane Velocity. This points to a Spokane Velocity double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Oakland Roots
25%
Draws
45%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Spokane Velocity

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Oakland Roots picked up more points recently compared to Spokane Velocity.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 20%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oakland Roots Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 USL Cup
Spokane Velocity vs Oakland Roots
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oakland Roots 31 / 100
Spokane Velocity 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oakland Roots Spokane Velocity

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spokane Velocity or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oakland Roots attacking → ← attacking Spokane Velocity

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oakland Roots scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Spokane Velocity let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Oakland Roots went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Spokane Velocity lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 49
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sacramento Republic33007:18
2Spokane Velocity32013:56
3Athletic Club Boise32017:65
4Oakland Roots31023:34
5Monterey Bay31026:73
6Las Vegas Lights30031:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colorado Springs33007:19
2El Paso Locomotive32015:36
3New Mexico32016:56
4AV Alta FC31023:53
5Phoenix Rising31022:63
6Orange County SC30033:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Antonio FC33004:18
2Birmingham Legion32015:26
3One Knoxville32014:34
4FC Tulsa31023:44
5Corpus Christi FC31021:43
6Chattanooga Red Wolves30032:52
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Louisville City33009:28
2Indy Eleven43017:47
3Lexington32016:46
4Union Omaha32017:86
5Detroit City31022:35
6Fort Wayne30035:101
7Forward Madison30032:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hartford Athletic32016:27
2Brooklyn FC32018:36
3Rhode Island32015:25
4Portland Hearts of Pine31025:94
5New York Cosmos31024:93
6Westchester SC31025:82
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Charleston33007:18
2Charlotte Independence33005:28
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds31024:35
4Loudoun United31024:53
5Greenville Triumph31023:53
6Richmond Kickers30031:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay33008:19
2Miami FC32016:56
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise31022:43
5FC Naples31023:72