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Oberena vs Aoiz

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aoiz in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aoiz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Oberena
35%
Draws
40%
Aoiz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aoiz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Oberena have won more games recently than Aoiz.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Oberena Clean Sheet 18%
Aoiz Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberena Aoiz
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Oberena
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Aoiz
0:1
Feb 16, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Aoiz
0:1
Sep 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Oberena
1:5
Mar 24, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Aoiz vs Oberena
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberena 32 / 100
Aoiz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberena Aoiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aoiz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Oberena scored in 69% of their last 39 outings.

Aoiz let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Oberena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oberena VS Aoiz
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberena

(Home)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 1
Oberena
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
10 Apr
CA Artajones
1 : 1
Oberena
Page 1 of 8

Aoiz

(Away)
11 Sept
Aoiz
2 : 0
Doneztebe FT
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
09 May
Aoiz
1 : 4
Izarra
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD San Juan 38 23 11 4 53:16 80
2 Mutilvera 38 23 9 6 78:28 78
3 Iruna 38 19 10 9 67:45 67
4 Cortes 38 19 9 10 50:41 66
5 Cirbonero 38 18 11 9 71:41 65
6 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 51:31 65
7 Huarte 38 16 10 12 58:49 58
8 Burlades 38 15 10 13 47:38 55
9 Oberena 38 17 4 17 52:51 55
10 Murchante 38 14 13 11 39:39 55
11 Valle Egues 38 14 7 17 52:51 49
12 Pamplona 38 13 9 16 45:48 48
13 Erriberri 38 12 10 16 43:52 46
14 Lagun Artea 38 12 9 17 34:48 45
15 Valtierrano 38 11 10 17 42:52 43
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 34:55 41
17 Aoiz 38 10 9 19 42:63 39
18 Subiza 38 9 11 18 51:77 38
19 Pena Azagresa 38 6 12 20 39:70 30
20 Lagunak 38 3 10 25 20:73 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)