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Oberena vs Lagunak

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Garcia A.
42' Event
Rodriguez Fernandez M.
55' Event
Garcia A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Oberena and Lagunak finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lagunak.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Oberena
35%
Draws
40%
Lagunak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lagunak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Oberena haven't matched Lagunak's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Oberena Clean Sheet 15%
Lagunak Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberena Lagunak
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Oberena
1:0
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Lagunak
2:4
Feb 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Lagunak
4:2
Oct 21, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Oberena
3:0
Feb 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lagunak vs Oberena
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oberena Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Fernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lagunak Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pascal D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberena 31 / 100
Lagunak 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberena Lagunak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagunak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Oberena found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Lagunak has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Oberena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oberena VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberena

(Home)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 1
Oberena
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
10 Apr
CA Artajones
1 : 1
Oberena
Page 1 of 7

Lagunak

(Away)
11 May
Lagunak
2 : 0
Huarte
04 May
Subiza
3 : 1
Lagunak
01 May
Lagunak
1 : 0
Oberena
27 Apr
Pamplona
1 : 1
Lagunak
21 Apr
Lagunak
0 : 0
Burlades
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)