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Oberena vs Lerines

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Diaz P. M.
41' Event
Sanchez C.
81' Event
Irujo N.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Oberena and Lerines finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lerines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Oberena
35%
Draws
35%
Lerines
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lerines come out ahead of Oberena on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Oberena Clean Sheet 15%
Lerines Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberena Lerines
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Lerines
1:2
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lerines vs Oberena
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oberena Compare

Top Goalscorer Irujo N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lerines Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz P. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberena 31 / 100
Lerines 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberena Lerines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lerines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Oberena scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Oberena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oberena VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberena

(Home)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 1
Oberena
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
10 Apr
CA Artajones
1 : 1
Oberena
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Lerines

(Away)
11 May
Lerines
1 : 1
CD Beti Onak
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Lerines
2 : 2
Ezcabarte
27 Apr
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Lerines
20 Apr
Lerines
4 : 4
Pena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)