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Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Heidenauer

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2013/2014 game between Oberlausitz Neugersdorf and Heidenauer finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oberlausitz Neugersdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
15%
Draws
0%
Heidenauer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oberlausitz Neugersdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oberlausitz Neugersdorf come out ahead of Heidenauer on wins alone.
  • Oberlausitz Neugersdorf are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Clean Sheet 11%
Heidenauer Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Heidenauer
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 19 24
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.47 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf vs Heidenauer
8:0
Oct 5, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heidenauer vs Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 56 / 100
Heidenauer 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Heidenauer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oberlausitz Neugersdorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Heidenauer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Heidenauer's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oberlausitz Neugersdorf

(Home)
14 Feb
FK Ceska Lipa
8 : 0
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
30 Jul
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
1 : 1
FK Ceska Lipa
27 Jul
FK Ceska Lipa
3 : 1
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
24 Jul
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
0 : 3
Liberec B
27 Jan
Liberec B
0 : 1
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
Page 1 of 6

Heidenauer

(Away)
08 Jun
Heidenauer
3 : 7
Bautzen
01 Jun
Hallescher II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
24 May
Heidenauer
1 : 3
Schott Jena
18 May
Dresden II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
10 May
Heidenauer
2 : 4
Piesteritz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bautzen 30 23 4 3 72:22 73
2 Markranstadt 30 21 4 5 54:21 67
3 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 29 18 3 8 70:41 57
4 Halle 30 16 3 11 55:35 51
5 Aue II 29 15 2 12 48:54 47
6 Chemnitzer II 30 13 6 11 61:44 45
7 Cottbus II 30 14 3 13 49:52 45
8 Sandersdorf 30 14 3 13 43:51 45
9 Dresden II 30 12 5 13 41:41 41
10 Jena II 30 11 6 13 54:48 39
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 12 3 15 40:50 39
12 Schott Jena 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
13 Erfurt II 30 9 6 15 49:63 33
14 Hallescher II 30 9 4 17 39:55 31
15 Piesteritz 30 6 6 18 40:66 24
16 Heidenauer 30 2 4 24 27:94 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2014/2015 (Main)