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Obod Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017
Sat, Nov 4, 2017
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Obod Tashkent host Mashal Muborak in the Professional Football League 2017. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Obod Tashkent at 0.47 goals for, 1.87 against; Mashal Muborak at 0.59 for, 1.66 against. Head-to-head, Obod Tashkent have won 0 to Mashal Muborak's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 4, 2017, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 0.74) back Mashal Muborak to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Obod Tashkent
15%
Draws
85%
Mashal Muborak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mashal Muborak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Obod Tashkent haven't matched Mashal Muborak's recent run of results.
  • Obod Tashkent are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Professional Football League 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mashal Muborak here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 20%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Obod Tashkent Mashal Muborak
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 6
Draws 3 2
Losses 25 24
Goals Scored 0.47 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak
0:0
May 26, 2017 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Obod Tashkent
3:0
Oct 24, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Mashal Muborak
0:1
Jun 10, 2016 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Obod Tashkent
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obod Tashkent 85 / 100
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Obod Tashkent Mashal Muborak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Obod Tashkent Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mashal Muborak conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Mashal Muborak registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Obod Tashkent scored in 43% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mashal Muborak
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Obod Tashkent

(Home)
25 Nov
Pakhtakor
:
Obod Tashkent
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Shortan Guzor
16 Nov
Metallurg Bekabad
:
Obod Tashkent
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Mashal Muborak
26 Oct
Din. Samarkand
:
Obod Tashkent
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Mashal Muborak

(Away)
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2
Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2
Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1
Andijan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lok. Tashkent 30 22 4 4 67:20 70
2 Nasaf Qarshi 30 20 2 8 58:18 62
3 Pakhtakor 30 18 5 7 44:28 59
4 Bunyodkor 30 14 10 6 47:29 52
5 Navbahor Namangan 30 12 10 8 40:37 46
6 Buxoro 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 OKMK 30 12 8 10 31:32 44
8 Mashal Muborak 30 12 8 10 37:31 44
9 Kokand 1912 30 11 8 11 42:47 41
10 Metallurg Bekabad 30 12 4 14 40:39 40
11 Qizilqum 30 9 10 11 31:40 37
12 Din. Samarkand 30 8 8 14 21:35 32
13 Sogdiana 30 8 7 15 33:51 31
14 Shortan Guzor 30 8 3 19 28:52 27
15 Neftchi Fargona 30 6 9 15 23:48 27
16 Obod Tashkent 30 2 3 25 15:52 9
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