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Stadium Background

Obod Tashkent vs Pakhtakor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Sergeev I.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Khakimov J.
61' Event
Sergeev I.

AI Match Summary

Pakhtakor in this Professional Football League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pakhtakor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Obod Tashkent
20%
Draws
80%
Pakhtakor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pakhtakor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pakhtakor have won more games recently than Obod Tashkent.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 17%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Obod Tashkent Pakhtakor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 16
Draws 3 9
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 0.47 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2017 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Obod Tashkent
0:0
Jun 24, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Pakhtakor
1:4
Nov 22, 2016 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Obod Tashkent
1:1
Jun 30, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Pakhtakor
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Obod Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Izmoilov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Pakhtakor Compare

Top Goalscorer Khakimov J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sergeev I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obod Tashkent 31 / 100
Pakhtakor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Obod Tashkent Pakhtakor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pakhtakor conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Obod Tashkent scored in 43% of their last 23 games.

Difficult form: Pakhtakor registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pakhtakor
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Obod Tashkent

(Home)
25 Nov
Pakhtakor
:
Obod Tashkent
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Shortan Guzor
16 Nov
Metallurg Bekabad
:
Obod Tashkent
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Mashal Muborak
26 Oct
Din. Samarkand
:
Obod Tashkent
Page 1 of 6

Pakhtakor

(Away)
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0
Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0
Pakhtakor
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lok. Tashkent 30 22 4 4 67:20 70
2 Nasaf Qarshi 30 20 2 8 58:18 62
3 Pakhtakor 30 18 5 7 44:28 59
4 Bunyodkor 30 14 10 6 47:29 52
5 Navbahor Namangan 30 12 10 8 40:37 46
6 Buxoro 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 OKMK 30 12 8 10 31:32 44
8 Mashal Muborak 30 12 8 10 37:31 44
9 Kokand 1912 30 11 8 11 42:47 41
10 Metallurg Bekabad 30 12 4 14 40:39 40
11 Qizilqum 30 9 10 11 31:40 37
12 Din. Samarkand 30 8 8 14 21:35 32
13 Sogdiana 30 8 7 15 33:51 31
14 Shortan Guzor 30 8 3 19 28:52 27
15 Neftchi Fargona 30 6 9 15 23:48 27
16 Obod Tashkent 30 2 3 25 15:52 9
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