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Obod Tashkent vs Shortan Guzor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017
Sun, Nov 19, 2017
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Obod Tashkent play Shortan Guzor in the Professional Football League 2017. Shortan Guzor are favorites here. Recently, Obod Tashkent averaged 0.47 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Shortan Guzor averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Obod Tashkent won 0, Shortan Guzor won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 19, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Obod Tashkent and 1.11 for Shortan Guzor. This points to a Shortan Guzor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Obod Tashkent
25%
Draws
60%
Shortan Guzor
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Shortan Guzor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Obod Tashkent picked up more points recently compared to Shortan Guzor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 21%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Obod Tashkent Shortan Guzor
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.47 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.53

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Shortan Guzor
0:0
Jun 20, 2017 Super League
Shortan Guzor vs Obod Tashkent
2:0
Oct 29, 2016 Super League
Shortan Guzor vs Obod Tashkent
1:0
Jun 15, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs Shortan Guzor
2:3
Oct 18, 2014 Pro Liga
Obod Tashkent vs Shortan Guzor
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obod Tashkent 18 / 100
Shortan Guzor 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Obod Tashkent Shortan Guzor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shortan Guzor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Shortan Guzor & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Obod Tashkent attacking → ← attacking Shortan Guzor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Obod Tashkent scored in 43% of their last 23 games.

Shortan Guzor let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Obod Tashkent went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Shortan Guzor lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lok. Tashkent30224467:2070
2Nasaf Qarshi30202858:1862
3Pakhtakor30185744:2859
4Bunyodkor301410647:2952
5Navbahor Namangan301210840:3746
6Buxoro301371042:4046
7OKMK301281031:3244
8Mashal Muborak301281037:3144
9Kokand 1912301181142:4741
10Metallurg Bekabad301241440:3940
11Qizilqum309101131:4037
12Din. Samarkand30881421:3532
13Sogdiana30871533:5131
14Shortan Guzor30831928:5227
15Neftchi Fargona30691523:4827
16Obod Tashkent30232515:529