Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Obolon vs FC Chernihiv

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Bezborodko D.
55' Event
Sukhanov S.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Shalfeev Y.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Obolon and FC Chernihiv finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Obolon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Obolon
30%
Draws
54%
FC Chernihiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Chernihiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Chernihiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FC Chernihiv a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Obolon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Obolon Clean Sheet 16%
FC Chernihiv Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Obolon FC Chernihiv
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 6 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Obolon vs FC Chernihiv
3:2
Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Obolon vs FC Chernihiv
2:1
Oct 30, 2022 Persha Liga
Obolon vs FC Chernihiv
3:1
Sep 10, 2022 Persha Liga
FC Chernihiv vs Obolon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Obolon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ustymenko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trialist B
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Chernihiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Bezborodko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shalfeev Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obolon 11 / 100
FC Chernihiv 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Obolon FC Chernihiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Chernihiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

FC Chernihiv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Obolon's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Obolon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Obolon VS FC Chernihiv
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Obolon

(Home)
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0
Obolon
22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0
Obolon
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FC Chernihiv

(Away)
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
05 Sept
FC Chernihiv
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
29 Aug
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
FC Chernihiv
23 Aug
LSTM Lutsk
1 : 2
FC Chernihiv
15 Aug
FC Chernihiv
2 : 2
Zhytomyr 2
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