Sport Picks

Ukraine

Persha Liga 2017/2018 Obolon Arena

Naftovik-Ukrnafta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Obolon play Naftovik-Ukrnafta in the Persha Liga 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Obolon averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Naftovik-Ukrnafta averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Obolon won 2, Naftovik-Ukrnafta won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 4, 2017 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Obolon and 1.00 for Naftovik-Ukrnafta. This points to a Naftovik-Ukrnafta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Obolon

40%

Draws

30%

Naftovik-Ukrnafta

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Naftovik-Ukrnafta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Obolon picked up more points recently compared to Naftovik-Ukrnafta.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Obolon Clean Sheet 23%

Naftovik-Ukrnafta Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Obolon	Naftovik-Ukrnafta
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	12	7
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	1.07	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2017 Persha Liga

Obolon vs Naftovik-Ukrnafta

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Jul 30, 2017 Persha Liga

Naftovik-Ukrnafta vs Obolon

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Apr 14, 2017 Persha Liga

Naftovik-Ukrnafta vs Obolon

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Sep 8, 2016 Persha Liga

Obolon vs Naftovik-Ukrnafta

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 4 - 0

0:3

May 11, 2016 Persha Liga

Naftovik-Ukrnafta vs Obolon

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 0 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Obolon Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartina D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Korolchuk A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Naftovik-Ukrnafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Sachko Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tsyutsyura V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obolon 32 / 100

Naftovik-Ukrnafta 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Obolon Naftovik-Ukrnafta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Naftovik-Ukrnafta or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Obolon attacking → ← attacking Naftovik-Ukrnafta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Obolon scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Naftovik-Ukrnafta let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Obolon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Naftovik-Ukrnafta lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 28

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal Kiev	34	23	6	5	59:23	75
2	FC Poltava	34	23	3	8	56:26	72
3	Desna	34	22	5	7	71:25	71
4	Inhulets	34	21	6	7	46:20	69
5	Kolos Kovalivka	34	19	4	11	39:30	61
6	Kramatorsk	34	15	7	12	44:42	52
7	Rukh Lviv	34	14	9	11	36:30	51
8	Hirnyk-Sport	34	16	2	16	30:40	50
9	Kobra	34	14	4	16	35:43	46
10	MFK Mykolaiv	34	12	8	14	39:50	44
11	Sumy	34	12	6	16	30:37	42
12	FK Balkany	34	9	13	12	30:35	40
13	Volyn Lutsk	34	11	3	20	31:44	36
14	Obolon	34	9	8	17	24:37	35
15	Naftovik-Ukrnafta	34	8	9	17	27:42	33
16	Kremin	34	9	5	20	25:54	32
17	Cherkashchyna	34	8	4	22	27:50	28
18	Zhemchuzhyna Odesa	34	7	6	21	33:54	27