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Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Chavdar Etropole Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024
Sat, Jun 1, 2024
3 - 0
03:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Oborishte Panagyurishte host Chavdar Etropole in the Third League - South-West 2023/2024. This has Oborishte Panagyurishte written all over it on paper. Oborishte Panagyurishte have averaged 1.81 scored and 0.94 conceded recently, against Chavdar Etropole's 0.4 scored and 2.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Oborishte Panagyurishte slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.00) point toward Oborishte Panagyurishte. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
15%
Draws
16%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Chavdar Etropole haven't matched Oborishte Panagyurishte's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oborishte Panagyurishte a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oborishte Panagyurishte Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 7 1
Losses 7 25
Goals Scored 1.81 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Chavdar Etropole
3:0
Nov 18, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
8:0
Mar 16, 2022 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:0
Aug 21, 2021 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Chavdar Etropole
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oborishte Panagyurishte 85 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oborishte Panagyurishte Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Etropole has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Oborishte Panagyurishte stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Oborishte Panagyurishte's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Oborishte Panagyurishte VS Chavdar Etropole
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Oborishte Panagyurishte

(Home)
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0
Minyor Pernik
Page 1 of 7

Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minyor Pernik 38 31 4 3 78:29 97
2 CSKA Sofia II 38 25 5 8 68:39 80
3 Botev Ihtiman 38 20 7 11 70:52 67
4 Vihren 38 20 6 12 66:46 66
5 Slivnishki Geroy 38 16 10 12 52:47 58
6 Levski Sofia II 38 16 8 14 61:51 56
7 Rilski Sportist 38 16 4 18 58:61 52
8 Balkan Botevgrad 38 13 11 14 63:62 50
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 38 14 7 17 57:55 49
10 Bansko 38 13 9 16 50:54 48
11 Septemvri Sofia 2 38 13 9 16 50:46 48
12 Bistritsa 38 12 11 15 30:35 47
13 Kyustendil 38 12 10 16 53:54 46
14 Slavia Sofia 2 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
15 Oborishte Panagyurishte 38 13 7 18 58:75 46
16 Septemvri Simitli 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
17 Pirin Razlog 38 13 6 19 38:55 45
18 Kostinbrod 38 11 10 17 40:63 43
19 Hebar 2 38 9 6 23 35:63 33
20 Chavdar Etropole 38 13 2 23 46:74 41
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