Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West

Germaneya

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oborishte Panagyurishte play Germaneya in the Third League - South-West. Oborishte Panagyurishte are favorites here. Recently, Oborishte Panagyurishte averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Germaneya averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Oborishte Panagyurishte won 2, Germaneya won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Oborishte Panagyurishte and 1.06 for Germaneya. This points to a Oborishte Panagyurishte double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

Oborishte Panagyurishte

17%

Draws

15%

Germaneya

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Oborishte Panagyurishte picked up more points recently compared to Germaneya.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 22%

Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oborishte Panagyurishte	Germaneya
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	4
Draws	6	4
Losses	11	22
Goals Scored	1.3	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.07	2.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - South-West

Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Germaneya

Possession: 60% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

5:1

Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West

Germaneya vs Oborishte Panagyurishte

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oborishte Panagyurishte 66 / 100

Germaneya 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oborishte Panagyurishte Germaneya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte Win (1)

Secondary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.6%

1.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oborishte Panagyurishte attacking → ← attacking Germaneya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oborishte Panagyurishte scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Germaneya let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Oborishte Panagyurishte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Germaneya lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 16

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38