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Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Kostinbrod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oborishte Panagyurishte host Kostinbrod in the Third League - South-West. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Kostinbrod have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Oborishte Panagyurishte have conceded 1 and scored 1.6. Past meetings favor Oborishte Panagyurishte slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.56, favoring Oborishte Panagyurishte. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
30%
Draws
41%
Kostinbrod
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kostinbrod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Kostinbrod have managed 1.41 goals a game lately — Oborishte Panagyurishte are scoring more at 1.6.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 15%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oborishte Panagyurishte Kostinbrod
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 3
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Kostinbrod
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Kostinbrod
5:2
Sep 2, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oborishte Panagyurishte 31 / 100
Kostinbrod 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oborishte Panagyurishte Kostinbrod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kostinbrod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oborishte Panagyurishte found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Kostinbrod conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Oborishte Panagyurishte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oborishte Panagyurishte VS Kostinbrod
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oborishte Panagyurishte

(Home)
31 Oct
Slivnishki Geroy
0 : 0
Oborishte Panagyurishte
24 Oct
Levski Sofia II
0 : 2
Oborishte Panagyurishte
18 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
07 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
2 : 2
Kyustendil
04 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
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Kostinbrod

(Away)
31 Oct
Kostinbrod
3 : 3
Bansko
28 Oct
Minyor Pernik
3 : 0
Kostinbrod
22 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 1
Pirin Razlog
10 Oct
Kostinbrod
5 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
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